mm's Blog
Tory leads in ICM poll and BPIX poll!
Con 43% (+5)
Lab 36% (-2)
Lib Dem 14% (-2)
'Gordon Brown hit by Tory poll surge':
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/10/13/npoll413.xml
John Curtice analysis: 'Poll signals a Liberal Democrats collapse'
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/10/13/npoll513.xml
Tory lead in MORI poll!
Brown rules out autumn election!
One of the key factors for the decision seems to be this poll in the News of the World by ICM:
'Marginals polls revels Hung Parliament'
http://notw.typepad.com/saturday_notw/2007/10/stop-press.html
As usual Brown does a soft interview with Andrew Marr to explain his decision. One can only hope there is some short-term pain and in the long term things will be ok. But one car'nt help feeling that the last three months were the high point of Brown's premiership and Brown could well be the heir to Callaghan in more ways than one.
Is Brown reversing Blair's reforms?
Great Political Myths
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/the_westminster_hour/6234940.stm
In the first part he shows that President Bush did not say 'yo Blair' at the G8 in Russia but in fact said 'yeah Blair'. He also demolishes some myth's about Dennis Healy and Jim Callaghan. Well worth a listen!
Channel 4 Privatisation
This story was in was the Telegraph the other day:
'Brown may take Channel 4 private' http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/30/nchannel430.xml
What do people think?
`Stalinist' Brown
Former Whitehall chief slams `Stalinist' Brown
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/db4b60b8-d65c-11db-99b7-000b5df10621.html
I rather liked this line from Lord Turnbull:
"The chancellor has a Macavity quality. He is not there when there is dirty work to be done."
Another line I'm sure Cameron will use at PMQ's or the Budget debate:
The Chancellor has a "very cynical view of mankind and his colleagues".
I'm suprised a former permanent secretary has used such damming language especially before Brown's set-piece occassion.
Budget 2007
What has Mr Brown achieved? (Assessment by the BBC's economics editor Evan Davis)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6459543.stm
Gordon Brown: A decade of Budgets
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6442161.stm
The normally well informed Larry Elliott (Guardian Economics editor) basically gives the Budget in this mornings paper:
'Budget to give tax breaks for green homes'
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/economics/story/0,,2037235,00.html
So if these various leaks are true will it be enough to pacify Labour members? Will a so-called 'Green Budget', increases in spending on Education and a possible cut in business corporation tax lead to a surge in the polls?
I just hope the Chancellor has something more up his sleeze on Wednesday afternoon. He has produced some shocking performances in recent months i.e his conference speech and his pre-Budget report. Let's hope this blog entry is correct:
Will Budget Day launch Gordon?
http://broganblog.dailymail.co.uk/2007/03/will_budget_day.html
ID Cards an electoral disaster?
Charles Clarke is presenting 'The Insider' on C4 (7:30 tonight) which looks at identity fraud/ID Cards/DNA national databases and the national system of medical records verses.
The Insider: fighting identity fraud:
http://www.the2020vision.org.uk/index.php/pages/news-article/the-insider-fighting-identity-fraud/
Defending Democracy, Protecting Civil Liberties:
http://www.the2020vision.org.uk/index.php/pages/speech/defending-democracy-protecting-civil-libertie
s/
Tony Blair's repsone to the e-petition against ID Cards:
http://petitions.pm.gov.uk/IDcards/
My own view is that Labour have alot of problems with this issue, there seems to be a school of thought that by saying that ID cards can prevent terrorism or illegal immigration it will automatically be accepted. Do we have faith in the Home Office/Government to manage big IT projects given it's past record?
Even if some aspects of the ID card scheme may seem sensible it almost seems imposible to get the positive's across to the public. Is there a case for major u-turn? Or if the Government is confident of it's case should it be bolder in making the arguments?
Policy Debate
'Milburn and Clarke urge debate'
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6400167.stm
'Milburn and Clarke e-mail'
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6400299.stm
Nick Robinson's view: 'New ideas needed'
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/nickrobinson/2007/02/the_future_for.html
I'm guessing this wo'nt be too popular here?
Your Favourite Prime Minister
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/the_daily_politics/6242715.stm#HOWTOVOTE
Currently Margaret Thatcher is way ahead with 65% of the vote. Clement Attlee is 2nd with 19% and Tony Blair is 3rd with 7% and Harold Wilson 4th with 4% of the vote. A fair reflection? The poll closes in Easter.
The Politics Show has a quiz on Blair on it's website.
So you think you know your Tony Blair?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/politics_show/6302277.stm
I'm sure as ardent Blairites everybody got 10 out of 10 here.
Brown's Cabinet
Brown summons young courtiers for his Cabinet of all the talents
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,17129-2525894,00.html
Philip Webster, the Times Politcal Editor is normally very well informed.
Cabinet minister joins protest over hospital
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/publicservices/story/0,,1979262,00.html
I have to say I find it amazing that she can say with a straight face that she agree's with Government policy as she did on News24. Should she be sacked? Or is what she did forgiveable?
Press Review 27/12/06
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/localgovernment/story/0,,1978954,00.html
Thinktank calls for end to national exams for pupils aged 11 and 14
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/publicservices/story/0,,1978775,00.html
Roy Hattersley on the Iraq War:
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/columnist/story/0,,1978884,00.html
David Clark (former advisor to Robin Cook) on English and Scottish union:
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,1978880,00.html
'Come here, Hilary, I've got something to help you win the deputy leadership' (article on Hilary Benn's deputy leadership bid)
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,17129-2519495,00.html
Killings by strangers rise a third in 10 years:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2519548,00.html
Tragic toll of fights and petty crime that cost lives
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2519645,00.html
Imagination the key weapon in cutting murders
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2519646,00.html
Lethal side of living the good life
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-2519647,00.html
Times Leader: Fear of Strangers
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,542-2519561,00.html
Times Leader: Britain and Basra
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,542-2519563,00.html
Press Review
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6209399.stm
Labour loses one member every 20 minutes
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/12/26/ulab126.xml
Blair plan for 'people's panels':
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6209163.stm
Panel of ordinary people to have a say on policy:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,17129-2518698,00.html
Blair to consult with 'people's panels'
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/12/26/upanel126.xml
Obese may be denied priority NHS care:
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/health_medical/article2103722.ece
Bruce Anderson: The real causes of crime lie in the family circumstances, not in poverty or deprivation
http://comment.independent.co.uk/columnists_a_l/bruce_anderson/article2103699.ece
Corner shops must tackle electrical waste:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/12/26/nwaste26.xml
Legal reforms to hurt high street solicitors
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/12/26/nlaw26.xml
Sun wins £10m for ChildLine
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006590672,00.html
Reid ordered to build more jails
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006590653,00.html
Sun Leader (praise for Brown and warning for Reid/Brown):
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,31-2006590603,00.html
Hospitals deny Tory A&E Scare:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/tm_headline=hospitals-deny-tory-a-e-scare-%26method=full%26objectid=183
28256%26siteid=94762-name_page.html
Paul Routledge coulum: (blames Blair/Brown for members leaving)
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/paulroutledge/
Mirror Leader (attacks Tony Blair for Labour's membership decline)
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/voiceofthemirror/
Arise Sir Bono - or is that Sir Paul?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=424728&in_page_id=17
70
Cash for peerages drives a wedge through Number 10
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=424764&in_page_id=17
70
It's official: tax has vastly increased under new Labour
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=424747&in_page_id=17
70
The ID that follows you beyond the grave
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=424722&in_page_id=17
70
Hospital infections 'kill 10,000 a year'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=424761&in_page_id=17
70
Hunting Act
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/this_britain/article2103706.ece
Half of Britons think ban on fox hunting will be overturned:
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/this_britain/article2103729.ece
Record numbers turn out for Boxing Day hunts:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/12/26/uhunt126.xml
Tally ho!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2006/12/26/dl2603.xml
'Thousands' attend UK fox hunts
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6209365.stm
Is the fox hunting ban working?
http://newsforums.bbc.co.uk/nol/thread.jspa?threadID=5059&&edition=1&ttl=20061226184428
Brown 'not clear on ideas for reform'
Pre-Budget Report
The Chancellor will deliever his 10th PBR on Wednesday, what do people hope he will mention? It seems that from most of the Sunday papers that the Chancellor will upgrade his economic forecasts and probably mention the 'green agenda'. A whole series of reports will be published alongside the PBR on local planning and skills. Will all this be enough to answer the Chancellor's various critics?
Charles Clarke doubts on Trident
"There is a strong case for prioritising our security spending on what are likely to be the main security threats we face in the future, rather than building new weapons to fight the last war."
Clarke also discussed a range of issues on the EU in terms of it taking a more proactive foreign and defence policy (e.g the Middle East). Clarke also discussed issues relating to pre-war planning in Iraq.
The World After Bush- Charles Clarke
http://www.fabian-society.org.uk/press_office/news_latest_all.asp?pressid=578
(full speech or what the press office has put on the website)
Clarke comes out fighting against replacement for Trident - 'a new weapon to fight an old war'
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/labour/story/0,,1960318,00.html
Clarke accuses Cabinet of rushing decision on Trident replacement
http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article2026820.ece
Still hoping for a job, if the elephant forgets
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/labour/comment/0,,1960342,00.html
(Micheal White offers his analysis of Clarke's speech and Clarke's future job prospects).
How will Brown react?
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